Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#83
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#66
Pace70.7#154
Improvement+2.3#81

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#43
First Shot+4.6#55
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#81
Layup/Dunks+2.1#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows+3.0#19
Improvement+4.3#17

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#155
First Shot+2.1#102
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#296
Layups/Dunks-0.3#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#113
Freethrows-0.3#186
Improvement-2.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.7% n/a n/a
First Round35.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 317   Binghamton W 63-53 96%     1 - 0 -3.7 -15.2 +10.7
  Nov 17, 2015 38   @ Syracuse L 66-79 23%     1 - 1 +1.4 +2.1 -0.9
  Nov 21, 2015 294   Loyola Maryland W 94-82 95%     2 - 1 +0.3 +14.6 -14.2
  Nov 24, 2015 231   @ Canisius W 77-73 78%     3 - 1 +2.8 -0.4 +3.2
  Nov 28, 2015 96   Hofstra L 83-89 65%     3 - 2 -3.2 +2.9 -5.5
  Dec 02, 2015 136   @ Buffalo W 60-58 58%     4 - 2 +6.8 -9.0 +15.8
  Dec 05, 2015 137   Ohio W 81-68 77%     5 - 2 +12.0 +7.0 +5.4
  Dec 08, 2015 152   Vermont W 80-68 80%     6 - 2 +9.9 +4.6 +5.3
  Dec 19, 2015 272   South Carolina St. W 64-45 93%     7 - 2 +9.0 -16.3 +25.3
  Dec 22, 2015 119   @ Siena L 70-73 53%     7 - 3 +3.0 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 30, 2015 303   Niagara W 82-68 95%     8 - 3 +1.8 +5.6 -3.8
  Jan 02, 2016 105   Davidson W 97-85 68%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +14.0 +11.9 +1.1
  Jan 06, 2016 196   @ George Mason W 77-58 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +19.8 +8.5 +11.9
  Jan 09, 2016 162   @ Massachusetts W 88-77 65%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +13.9 +15.8 -2.2
  Jan 13, 2016 90   Rhode Island W 69-64 63%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +8.3 +6.2 +2.6
  Jan 16, 2016 151   @ Duquesne L 88-95 62%     12 - 4 4 - 1 -3.3 +4.1 -6.4
  Jan 19, 2016 58   Dayton L 79-85 51%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +0.5 +6.2 -5.2
  Jan 24, 2016 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 76-84 23%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +6.6 +7.4 -0.3
  Jan 31, 2016 103   Richmond W 84-68 67%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +18.1 +7.8 +10.1
  Feb 03, 2016 44   @ Saint Joseph's W 83-73 26%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +23.6 +16.8 +7.0
  Feb 07, 2016 211   Saint Louis W 65-62 88%     15 - 6 7 - 3 -3.2 -5.1 +2.0
  Feb 10, 2016 148   @ Fordham W 76-72 OT 61%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +7.9 +5.1 +2.7
  Feb 13, 2016 72   George Washington W 64-57 57%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +11.8 -3.0 +15.4
  Feb 17, 2016 250   @ La Salle L 64-71 81%     17 - 7 9 - 4 -9.5 -7.4 -2.3
  Feb 20, 2016 58   @ Dayton W 79-72 30%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +19.3 +14.6 +4.7
  Feb 24, 2016 151   Duquesne W 80-76 80%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +1.9 +4.8 -2.9
  Feb 27, 2016 162   Massachusetts W 85-83 82%     20 - 7 12 - 4 -0.9 +10.9 -11.8
  Mar 02, 2016 44   Saint Joseph's W 98-90 35%     21 - 7 13 - 4 +18.7 +21.0 -2.9
  Mar 05, 2016 211   @ Saint Louis W 76-67 75%     22 - 7 14 - 4 +8.7 +8.6 +0.3
  Mar 11, 2016 105   Davidson L 86-90 OT 57%     22 - 8 +0.9 +0.1 +1.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 44.4% 44.4% 10.3 0.0 0.7 5.6 18.7 19.1 0.2 55.6 44.4%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 44.4% 0.0% 44.4% 10.3 0.0 0.7 5.6 18.7 19.1 0.2 55.6 44.4%